We consider a supercritical general branching population where the lifetimes of individuals are i.i.d. with arbitrary distribution and each individual gives birth to new individuals at Poisson times independently from each others. The population counting process of such population is a known as binary homogeneous Crump-Jargers-Mode process. It is known that such processes converges almost surely when correctly renormalized. In this paper, we study the error of this convergence. To this end, we use classical renewal theory and recent works [A. Lambert, Ann. Probab. 38 (2010) 348–395]. on this model to obtain the moments of the error. Then, we can precisely study the asymptotic behaviour of these moments thanks to Lévy processes theory. These results in conjunction with a new decomposition of the splitting trees allow us to obtain a central limit theorem.
Accepté le :
DOI : 10.1051/ps/2016029
Mots-clés : Branching process, splitting tree, Crump–Mode–Jagers process, linear birth–death process, Lévy processes, scale function, Central Limit Theorem
@article{PS_2017__21__113_0, author = {Henry, Beno{\^\i}t}, title = {Central limit theorem for supercritical binary homogeneous {Crump-Mode-Jagers} processes}, journal = {ESAIM: Probability and Statistics}, pages = {113--137}, publisher = {EDP-Sciences}, volume = {21}, year = {2017}, doi = {10.1051/ps/2016029}, mrnumber = {3716122}, zbl = {1394.60017}, language = {en}, url = {http://archive.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ps/2016029/} }
TY - JOUR AU - Henry, Benoît TI - Central limit theorem for supercritical binary homogeneous Crump-Mode-Jagers processes JO - ESAIM: Probability and Statistics PY - 2017 SP - 113 EP - 137 VL - 21 PB - EDP-Sciences UR - http://archive.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ps/2016029/ DO - 10.1051/ps/2016029 LA - en ID - PS_2017__21__113_0 ER -
%0 Journal Article %A Henry, Benoît %T Central limit theorem for supercritical binary homogeneous Crump-Mode-Jagers processes %J ESAIM: Probability and Statistics %D 2017 %P 113-137 %V 21 %I EDP-Sciences %U http://archive.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ps/2016029/ %R 10.1051/ps/2016029 %G en %F PS_2017__21__113_0
Henry, Benoît. Central limit theorem for supercritical binary homogeneous Crump-Mode-Jagers processes. ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, Tome 21 (2017), pp. 113-137. doi : 10.1051/ps/2016029. http://archive.numdam.org/articles/10.1051/ps/2016029/
Convergence rates for branching processes. Ann. Probab. 4 (1976) 139–146. | DOI | MR | Zbl
,K.B. Athreya and P.E. Ney, Branching processes. Reprint of the 1972 original Springer, New York; MR0373040. Dover Publications, Inc., Mineola, NY (2004). | MR | Zbl
Limit theorems for multitype continuous time Markov branching processes. II. The case of an arbitrary linear functional. Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 13 (1969) 204–214. | DOI | MR | Zbl
,R. Martínez and M. Slavtchova−Bojkova, Stochastic monotonicity and continuity properties of functions defined on Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes, with application to vaccination in epidemic modelling. Bernoulli 20 (2014) 2076–2101. | DOI | MR | Zbl
, ,Moments of the frequency spectrum of a splitting tree with neutral poissonian mutations. Electron. J. Probab. 21 (2016) 34. | DOI | MR | Zbl
and ,Splitting trees with neutral Poissonian mutations I: Small families. Stochastic Process. Appl. 122 (2012) 1003–1033. | DOI | MR | Zbl
and ,Splitting trees with neutral Poissonian mutations II: Largest and oldest families. Stochastic Process. Appl. 123 (2013) 1368–1414. | DOI | MR | Zbl
and ,Birth and death processes with neutral mutations. Int. J. Stoch. Anal. 20 (2012) ID 569081. | MR | Zbl
, and ,W. Feller, An introduction to probability theory and its applications. Vol. II. 2nd edition. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York London-Sydney (1971). | MR | Zbl
J. Geiger and G. Kersting, Depth-first search of random trees, and Poisson point processes. In Classical and modern branching processes (Minneapolis, MN, (1994)), vol. 84 of IMA Math. Appl. Springer, New York (1997) 111–126. | MR | Zbl
Size-biased and conditioned random splitting trees. Stochastic Process. Appl. 65 (1996) 187–207. | DOI | MR | Zbl
,On a relationship between processor-sharing queues and Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes. Adv. Appl. Probab. 24 (1992) 653–698. | DOI | MR | Zbl
,A rate of convergence result for the super-critical Galton-Watson process. J. Appl. Probability 7 (1970) 451–454. | DOI | MR | Zbl
,Some central limit analogues for supercritical Galton-Watson processes. J. Appl. Probab. 8 (1971) 52–59. | DOI | MR | Zbl
,Rate of convergence in the law of large numbers for supercritical general multi-type branching processes. Stochastic Process. Appl. 125 (2015) 708–738. | DOI | MR | Zbl
and ,A.E. Kyprianou, Fluctuations of Lévy processes with applications. Universitext. Springer, Heidelberg, 2nd edition (2014). Introductory lectures. | MR | Zbl
The contour of splitting trees is a Lévy process. Ann. Probab. 38 (2010) 348–395. | DOI | MR | Zbl
,Scaling limits via excursion theory: interplay between Crump-Mode-Jagers branching processes and processor-sharing queues. Ann. Appl. Probab. 23 (2013) 2357–2381. | DOI | MR | Zbl
, and ,On the convergence of supercritical general (C-M-J) branching processes. Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 57 (1981) 365–395. | DOI | MR | Zbl
,A Crump-Mode-Jagers branching process model of prion loss in yeast. J. Appl. Probab. 51 (2014) 453–465. | DOI | MR | Zbl
and ,M. Richard, Arbres, Processus de branchement non Markoviens et processus de Lévy. Ph. D. Thesis, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris 6.
Cité par Sources :