The exit path of a Markov chain with rare transitions
ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, Tome 1 (1997), pp. 95-144. 
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     title = {The exit path of a {Markov} chain with rare transitions},
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     pages = {95--144},
     publisher = {EDP-Sciences},
     volume = {1},
     year = {1997},
     mrnumber = {1440079},
     zbl = {0869.60063},
     language = {en},
     url = {http://archive.numdam.org/item/PS_1997__1__95_0/}
}
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Catoni, Olivier; Cerf, Raphaël. The exit path of a Markov chain with rare transitions. ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, Tome 1 (1997), pp. 95-144. http://archive.numdam.org/item/PS_1997__1__95_0/

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